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Case studies

Three small districts have control over Afghan opium poppy cultivation market

ranking fbi most wanted cyber threat actors apt41

Ranking FBI Most Wanted cyber threat actors

UK extremist threat ranking points to a policy omission

Right-wing UK extremist threat ranking using 11 variations of the Long Matrix

First Crusade historical research method

The First Crusade – use of Multiple-Perspective Utility Analysis as a historical research method

Predicting armed insurgency threat against FORFOR troops – does reality fit the theory?

red teaming Korean reunification-1

Red-Teaming Korean Reunification – Buy-out, Cyber-attack, or ..?

new-strategic-threats-to-EU

The Players of Games. Will EU visa policy create new strategic threats to EU?

Spot-on Election Forecasting Using Analytic Failure Simulation Technique

cyber threats ranking with Sleipnir model

Cyber Threats Ranking Using SLEIPNIR Assessment Tool

migrant smugglers plan Lampedusa invasion

The invasion of Lampedusa. Using High-Impact Low-Probability analysis to defeat migrant smugglers